CS2PREDCT.gg
Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   

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May 2026 — Knife Giveaway Winners + Top Predictors

Monthly leaderboard · May 2026 results · published June 2026

47 predictors placed 2410 settled wagers this month. Paranormal led on accuracy at 50.8% Wilson WR, while tier0_s netted +$1043.99 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 50.3%.

🔪 Knife Giveaway Winners

StatTrak Gut Knife Lore Field-Tested
By Win Rate
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore
Field-Tested
🥇 Paranormal
50.8% Wilson · 34 settled wagers
Navaja Knife Fade Factory New
By Profit
★ Navaja Knife | Fade
Factory New
🥇 tier0_s
+$1043.99 · 77 settled wagers

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (5+ settled wagers required for the knife giveaway).

  • 🥇 Paranormal — 50.8% Wilson (23W / 11L)
  • 🥈 Tw1nk1e17 — 50.2% Wilson (45W / 28L)
  • 🥉 seberya — 48.7% Wilson (51W / 35L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes).

  • 🥇 tier0_s — +$1043.99 (77 bets)
  • 🥈 k1to — +$783.59 (63 bets)
  • 🥉 tatazin — +$670.20 (47 bets)

What's next

The Knife Giveaway was a one-month special. $50 / $50 monthly cash prizes for Top Win Rate and Top Profit continue throughout June — same eligibility (3+ settled predictions). Place predictions on the match list and track standings on the Leaderboard.

Big thanks to everyone who placed predictions in May. See you on the June board.

Read more →
Week 22 → 23, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes

Weekly leaderboard · Week 22 results (May 25 – May 31, 2026) · published Week 23

47
Active predictors
537
Settled wagers
24.6%
Avg accuracy
59.6%
Top WR
+$401
Top profit
$40
Prize pool

💰 Weekly Cash Prizes

🥇
Forester takes +$20 for highest win rate
🥇
tAk takes +$20 for highest profit

47 predictors placed 537 settled wagers this week (Week 22 results (May 25 – May 31, 2026) · published Week 23). Forester led on accuracy at 59.6% Wilson, while tAk netted +$400.96 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 24.6%.

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

🥇
Win rate champion · 10 settled wagers
59.6%
Wilson WR
10
Settled
9
Correct
1
Wrong
  1. 🥇 Forester59.6% Wilson (9W / 1L)
  2. 🥈 seberya43.4% Wilson (8W / 3L)
  3. 🥉 Tw1nk1e1741.7% Wilson (10W / 5L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

🥇
Profit champion · 12 settled wagers
+$400.96
Net profit
39.1%
Win rate
8
Won
4
Lost
  1. 🥇 tAk+$400.96 (12 bets)
  2. 🥈 Tw1nk1e17+$180.88 (15 bets)
  3. 🥉 sliimey+$160.06 (7 bets)

Want next week's prize?

Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.

Read more →
Top Models May → June 2026 — STRONGHOLD leads at 78.4%

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · June 2026

26
Models ranked
2456
Total predictions
139
Matches tracked
78.4%
Best accuracy

Based on May 2026 data, we tracked 139 top-tier CS2 matches across 26 prediction models with a total of 2456 predictions. The average model accuracy was 64.0%, with a spread of 27.6% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

STRONGHOLD takes the top spot with 78.4% accuracy, followed by TIER3 at 75.4% and TIER at 72.0%.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 78.4% accuracy across 37 predictions (29 correct, 8 wrong). Best week: W18 at 100.0%, weakest: W22 at 40.0%.

78.4%
Accuracy
37
Predictions
29
Correct
8
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W18: 100.0% (3)W19: 100.0% (8)W20: 81.8% (11)W21: 70.0% (10)W22: 40.0% (5)
🥈
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3

TIER3 showed excellent performance with 75.4% accuracy across 57 predictions (43 correct, 14 wrong). Best week: W18 at 100.0%, weakest: W22 at 33.3%.

75.4%
Accuracy
57
Predictions
43
Correct
14
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W18: 100.0% (4)W19: 75.0% (12)W20: 80.0% (20)W21: 72.2% (18)W22: 33.3% (3)
🥉
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed strong performance with 72.0% accuracy across 75 predictions (54 correct, 21 wrong). Best week: W18 at 80.0%, weakest: W22 at 37.5%.

72.0%
Accuracy
75
Predictions
54
Correct
21
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W18: 80.0% (5)W19: 78.6% (14)W20: 80.0% (25)W21: 69.6% (23)W22: 37.5% (8)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD78.4%37298
#2TIER375.4%574314
#3TIER72.0%755421
#4TIER271.8%785622
#5TRIBUNAL70.4%27198
#6WR1068.6%1027032
#7SENTINEL66.7%963
#8WR10C65.6%1318645
#9ELOHQ65.6%966333
#10WR10P63.4%1237845
#11NEXUS63.3%493118
#12SQUAD63.2%1338449
#13OPEN63.1%1117041
#14ELOFACE62.5%1288048
#15XGPRO62.4%855332
#16MAJOR62.4%855332
#17ELO61.8%1318150
#18STREAK61.8%764729
#19HIGH-ORACLE61.4%573522
#20MIND60.2%1136845
#21PHANTOM59.5%1267551
#22FORM59.2%1207149
#23APEX59.0%1347955
#24SOS59.0%1227250
#25ORACLE56.6%1297356
#26EAGLE50.8%1226260
Read more →
Model of the Week W22 → W23, 2026 — SQUAD (60.9%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 23 · May 25 – May 31, 2026

24
Models ranked
380
Predictions
23
Matches
60.9%
Best accuracy
0.2732
Brier Score
0.8257
Log Loss

This week (Week 23 · May 25 – May 31, 2026) we analyzed 23 top-tier CS2 matches across 24 prediction models. SQUAD dominated with 60.9% accuracy (14/23 correct), ahead of MIND at 50.0%. SQUAD achieved a Brier Score of 0.2732 and Log Loss of 0.8257.

🏆 Model of the Week: SQUAD

SQUAD edged out the competition this week, though accuracy across all models was moderate.

🥇
SQUAD
Player ratings

SQUAD showed decent performance with 60.9% accuracy across 23 predictions (14 correct, 9 wrong).

60.9%
Accuracy
23
Predictions
14
Correct
9
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W22: 60.9% (23)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1SQUAD60.9%23149
#2MIND50.0%1899
#3XGPRO50.0%1688
#4MAJOR50.0%1688
#5WR1050.0%1477
#6OPEN47.1%1789
#7WR10P47.1%1789
#8NEXUS45.5%1156
#9WR10C42.9%21912
#10SOS42.1%19811
#11HIGH-ORACLE41.7%1257
#12ELOFACE40.0%20812
#13PHANTOM40.0%20812
#14STRONGHOLD40.0%523
#15APEX39.1%23914
#16TIER37.5%835
#17TIER237.5%835
#18ELO36.4%22814
#19EAGLE36.4%22814
#20FORM35.0%20713
#21ORACLE33.3%21714
#22TIER333.3%312
#23ELOHQ30.8%1349
#24STREAK27.3%1138

🎮 SQUAD Predictions This Week

14/23 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
FOKUS 2-1 Nemiga90% FOKUSCORRECT
Gentle Mates 0-2 Nemesis81% NemesisCORRECT
TDK 2-1 OG71% OGWRONG
100 Thieves 1-2 Nemesis67% NemesisCORRECT
magic 1-2 Ninjas in Pyjamas72% Ninjas in CORRECT
FOKUS 2-1 fnatic77% FOKUSCORRECT
Gentle Mates 2-0 GenOne89% Gentle MatCORRECT
Ninjas in Pyjamas 2-0 FaZe67% Ninjas in CORRECT
Tricked 0-2 Nemiga89% NemigaCORRECT
Gentle Mates 2-1 Eternal Fire79% Gentle MatCORRECT
FaZe 2-0 Sharks70% SharksWRONG
9z 1-2 FaZe68% FaZeCORRECT
Nemesis 2-3 TDK88% NemesisWRONG
magic 2-1 FaZe56% FaZeWRONG
HEROIC 1-2 9z72% HEROICWRONG
3DMAX 1-2 Alliance93% 3DMAXWRONG
9z 1-2 Sharks83% SharksCORRECT
Eternal Fire 2-1 fnatic77% fnaticWRONG
FaZe 2-0 Alliance61% AllianceWRONG
Gentle Mates 2-0 ALGO73% Gentle MatCORRECT
HEROIC 0-2 Ninjas in Pyjamas64% Ninjas in CORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 magic96% 3DMAXWRONG
fnatic 2-0 Rune Eaters64% fnaticCORRECT

🤔 Why every model struggled this week

60.9% as the best model is the lowest weekly leader we've ever recorded on cs2predict.gg — normal weeks see the top model land between 75% and 85%. The drop wasn't a data glitch (we verified every match against HLTV directly). It was a real upset wave driven by an unusually packed tournament calendar.

Three top-tier events ran in parallel this stretch:

  • CS Asia Championships 2026
  • IEM Atlanta 2026
  • PGL Astana 2026

Plus Major qualifiers leading into Cologne. Top organisations split rosters, tested experimental lineups, and showed visible signs of late-season fatigue. The result: 7 matches where every single one of 18–22 active models was wrong.

The 7 matches that broke the week

Match Tournament What happened
MongolZ vs B8CS Asia ChampionshipsB8 won 2-1 (huge upset)
MIBR vs PARIVISIONCS Asia ChampionshipsMIBR ran out 2-0
NaVi vs VitalityIEM AtlantaNaVi took it 2-1
B8 vs FUTIEM AtlantaB8 won 2-0 again
PARIVISION vs G2PGL AstanaG2 needed 3 maps
PARIVISION vs 9zPGL Astana9z swept 2-0
Aurora vs HEROICPGL AstanaHEROIC took it 2-0

The pattern: B8 (Ukrainian Tier-2) and PARIVISION (rising Russian roster) were involved in 5 of 7 of these matches. B8 ran the Cinderella story — taking down both MongolZ AND FUT in the same week.

Why SQUAD held up better

When ELO-based, rank-based, and form-based models all converge on the same prediction and are all wrong, the only model that can stand out is one looking at something different. SQUAD does exactly that: it weights individual player ratings rather than team-level rank.

For a week dominated by:

  • Rosters with new players (player ratings hadn't caught up to team rank)
  • Substitute lineups (team rank was misleading)
  • Tier-2 squads with strong individuals punching above their rank

SQUAD's player-first approach happened to fit. 60.9% isn't great absolutely — it's just that team-based models did far worse, because their signals were polluted by mid-tournament roster changes.

What this means going forward

CS2's 2026 calendar is more packed than ever. When 3+ tournaments overlap, expect lower model agreement, more upsets in matches where rosters changed mid-week, and player-based models (SQUAD, WR10) gaining a temporary edge.

We're not adjusting any model weights based on a single week — that would be classic over-fitting. But it's a useful reminder: models are statistical, not magical. Stable meta produces high accuracy. Chaotic weeks produce chaotic predictions.

Major Cologne Stage 1 kicks off this week (June 2). It'll be interesting to see how models behave once the scene refocuses on one big event.

Read more →
Model of the Week W21 → W22, 2026 — WR10P (75.8%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 22 · May 18 – May 24, 2026

25
Models ranked
648
Predictions
34
Matches
75.8%
Best accuracy
0.1981
Brier Score
0.5864
Log Loss

This week (Week 22 · May 18 – May 24, 2026) we analyzed 34 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. WR10P dominated with 75.8% accuracy (25/33 correct), ahead of TRIBUNAL at 75.0%. WR10P achieved a Brier Score of 0.1981 and Log Loss of 0.5864.

🏆 Model of the Week: WR10P

WR10P had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 25 out of 33 matches.

🥇
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10

WR10P showed excellent performance with 75.8% accuracy across 33 predictions (25 correct, 8 wrong).

75.8%
Accuracy
33
Predictions
25
Correct
8
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W21: 75.8% (33)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1WR10P75.8%33258
#2TRIBUNAL75.0%16124
#3WR1074.1%27207
#4TIER372.2%18135
#5STRONGHOLD70.0%1073
#6NEXUS70.0%1073
#7ORACLE69.7%332310
#8TIER69.6%23167
#9TIER269.6%23167
#10PHANTOM69.0%29209
#11WR10C68.8%322210
#12ELOHQ68.0%25178
#13APEX66.7%332211
#14SOS66.7%302010
#15STREAK65.2%23158
#16FORM64.5%312011
#17MIND64.3%281810
#18ELO63.6%332112
#19ELOFACE63.6%332112
#20EAGLE63.3%301911
#21XGPRO63.0%271710
#22MAJOR63.0%271710
#23OPEN62.1%291811
#24HIGH-ORACLE61.5%1385
#25SQUAD56.2%321814

🎮 WR10P Predictions This Week

25/33 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
EYEBALLERS 1-2 Alliance62% AllianceCORRECT
Wildcard 2-1 FOKUS73% FOKUSWRONG
FOKUS 2-1 Inner Circle62% FOKUSCORRECT
Falcons 1-3 Legacy55% LegacyCORRECT
MOUZ 2-0 MIBR53% MOUZCORRECT
Alliance 0-2 EYEBALLERS62% AllianceWRONG
MIBR 0-2 Legacy55% LegacyCORRECT
Legacy 2-1 The MongolZ60% LegacyCORRECT
B8 0-2 MOUZ63% MOUZCORRECT
The MongolZ 2-0 PARIVISION63% PARIVISIONWRONG
MOUZ 2-0 paiN71% MOUZCORRECT
MIBR 2-1 B861% MIBRCORRECT
Falcons 2-0 Legacy58% LegacyWRONG
TYLOO 1-2 paiN56% paiNCORRECT
PARIVISION 2-0 Lynn Vision65% PARIVISIONCORRECT
The MongolZ 2-1 Liquid66% The MongolCORRECT
M80 1-2 MOUZ77% MOUZCORRECT
Lynn Vision 2-1 Ninjas in Pyjamas62% Lynn VisioCORRECT
BC.Game 0-2 paiN56% paiNCORRECT
3DMAX 1-2 Liquid58% 3DMAXWRONG
NRG 1-2 MOUZ77% MOUZCORRECT
Legacy 2-0 TYLOO73% LegacyCORRECT
Falcons 2-0 M8065% FalconsCORRECT
The MongolZ 1-2 B853% The MongolWRONG
MIBR 2-0 PARIVISION53% PARIVISIONWRONG
Falcons 13-11 BC.Game71% FalconsCORRECT
paiN 8-13 M8054% M80CORRECT
Legacy 13-10 NRG73% LegacyCORRECT
MOUZ 7-13 TYLOO77% MOUZWRONG
B8 13-9 Ninjas in Pyjamas62% B8CORRECT
The MongolZ 13-3 Lynn Vision55% The MongolCORRECT
3DMAX 9-13 MIBR67% MIBRCORRECT
PARIVISION 13-9 Liquid75% PARIVISIONCORRECT
Read more →
Week 21 → 22, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes

Weekly leaderboard · Week 21 results (May 18 – May 24, 2026) · published Week 22

47
Active predictors
555
Settled wagers
27.0%
Avg accuracy
57.8%
Top WR
+$297
Top profit
$40
Prize pool

💰 Weekly Cash Prizes

🥇
Paranormal takes +$20 for highest win rate
🥇
Paranormal takes +$20 for highest profit

47 predictors placed 555 settled wagers this week (Week 21 results (May 18 – May 24, 2026) · published Week 22). Paranormal led on accuracy at 57.8% Wilson, while Paranormal netted +$296.61 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 27.0%.

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

🥇
Win rate champion · 13 settled wagers
57.8%
Wilson WR
13
Settled
11
Correct
2
Wrong
  1. 🥇 Paranormal57.8% Wilson (11W / 2L)
  2. 🥈 tAk52.9% Wilson (7W / 1L)
  3. 🥉 FxRE49.0% Wilson (8W / 2L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

🥇
Profit champion · 13 settled wagers
+$296.61
Net profit
57.8%
Win rate
11
Won
2
Lost
  1. 🥇 Paranormal+$296.61 (13 bets)
  2. 🥈 tier0_s+$279.12 (15 bets)
  3. 🥉 SayYouWill+$275.34 (9 bets)

Want next week's prize?

Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.

Read more →
Subscription tiers updated: model lineup reshuffled

Based on your feedback and requests, we've reshuffled the model lineup across subscription tiers — to make more useful models available right away without a subscription, and to give BASIC subscribers noticeably more options to work with. Big thanks to everyone who wrote in via support and Discord — this update is built directly from your suggestions.

Now available in FREE

  • MIND — formerly BASIC
  • OPEN — formerly BASIC

Even without a subscription, you now have two additional models with different decision logic, ready to try on upcoming matches.

Added to BASIC

  • ELO — moved up from FREE
  • WR10COMBO — moved up from FREE
  • WR10, PHANTOM, APEX, STREAK, ORACLE — moved down from PRO

Five additional models that previously required PRO are now open to BASIC subscribers too.

What this means for you

  • If you're on PRO: nothing changes — every model on the site is still available to you.
  • If you're on BASIC: you now have 5 more models in your toolkit (WR10, PHANTOM, APEX, STREAK, ORACLE).
  • If you're on FREE: MIND and OPEN are now yours — try them on the next few matches and see how they pick.

See the full lineup per tier on the Models leaderboard. Keep the feedback coming — it genuinely shapes how we develop the site.

Read more →
Pickem Predictions Live — Cologne Stage 1 + What Comes Next

We're rolling out a new section on CS2PREDICT: Pickem Predictions. Each CS2 Major has an Pickem Challenge — pick the team that goes 3-0, the team that goes 0-3, and the 7 teams that advance through the Swiss stage. Max 15 points (4 + 4 + 7). Hundreds of thousands of fans play it every Major. Now you can see what AI thinks before locking in your own pick.

What's live now: IEM Cologne Major 2026 — Stage 1

The Stage 1 (Challengers) page is up: /pickem/iem-cologne-major-2026-stage-1/

  • AI Consensus — a quick "which team has the most model votes" view for each of the 9 Pickem slots. Pick the consensus choice if you want the safe play.
  • Per-Model Picks — 27 AI models, each running 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the Swiss bracket and choosing its own 3-0/0-3/advance picks based on its match-level priors. Models ranked by their top-tier historical accuracy.
  • Per-model deep-dive — click any model card to see the full 16-team probability matrix and confidence bars for that model's picks.

Coming soon: Stage 2 (Legends)

Stage 2 — the Legends stage with the 8 invited top-seeds joined by the 8 Stage-1 advancers — gets its own Pickem page as soon as the field is finalized on HLTV. Same format: AI consensus on top, per-model breakdown below. Watch this space.

What's next: user Pickem contest

We're planning a community Pickem challenge right alongside the AI: log in, submit your own 9 picks, and compete against the 27 models after the Major wraps. Final leaderboard will show user scores intermixed with AI scores — beat the algorithms and prove your CS2 sense.

Details (sign-up, prizes, timing) coming in a follow-up post. If you want a heads-up when entries open, log in and watch the Pickem section.

How AI predicts the Swiss bracket

Each model has its own per-match win-probability logic (ELO, recent form, head-to-head, tactical metrics). For Pickem we run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the full 16-team Swiss bracket per model — every potential pairing flipped by a biased coin weighted by that model's match-level probability. The 3-0 pick = the team that finished without a loss most often, 0-3 = the team that finished winless most often, advance = top-7 by P(3-1 ∪ 3-2).

The simulation re-runs every time Cologne's seeding or team-strength data changes, until lock time (24h before the first Swiss match).

→ Browse the Cologne Stage 1 Pickem predictions now

Read more →
Week 20 → 21, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes

Weekly leaderboard · Week 20 results (May 11 – May 17, 2026) · published Week 21

47
Active predictors
647
Settled wagers
26.5%
Avg accuracy
67.6%
Top WR
+$701
Top profit
$40
Prize pool

💰 Weekly Cash Prizes

🥇
R0Kk-_ takes +$20 for highest win rate
🥇
tier0_s takes +$20 for highest profit

47 predictors placed 647 settled wagers this week (Week 20 results (May 11 – May 17, 2026) · published Week 21). R0Kk-_ led on accuracy at 67.6% Wilson, while tier0_s netted +$701.30 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 26.5%.

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

🥇
Win rate champion · 8 settled wagers
67.6%
Wilson WR
8
Settled
8
Correct
0
Wrong
  1. 🥇 R0Kk-_67.6% Wilson (8W / 0L)
  2. 🥈 tatazin57.8% Wilson (11W / 2L)
  3. 🥉 seberya52.1% Wilson (21W / 9L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

🥇
Profit champion · 30 settled wagers
+$701.30
Net profit
39.2%
Win rate
17
Won
13
Lost
  1. 🥇 tier0_s+$701.30 (30 bets)
  2. 🥈 k1to+$388.22 (17 bets)
  3. 🥉 souv+$276.51 (13 bets)

Want next week's prize?

Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.

Read more →
Model of the Week W20 → W21, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (81.8%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 21 · May 11 – May 17, 2026

25
Models ranked
958
Predictions
57
Matches
81.8%
Best accuracy
0.1542
Brier Score
0.4943
Log Loss

This week (Week 21 · May 11 – May 17, 2026) we analyzed 57 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 81.8% accuracy (9/11 correct), ahead of TIER at 80.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1542 and Log Loss of 0.4943.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 9 out of 11 matches.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 81.8% accuracy across 11 predictions (9 correct, 2 wrong).

81.8%
Accuracy
11
Predictions
9
Correct
2
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W20: 81.8% (11)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD81.8%1192
#2TIER80.0%25205
#3TIER380.0%20164
#4TIER277.8%27216
#5WR1075.0%443311
#6MIND70.2%473314
#7WR10C69.8%533716
#8ELOHQ69.4%362511
#9OPEN68.1%473215
#10WR10P66.7%513417
#11TRIBUNAL66.7%963
#12SQUAD66.0%533518
#13FORM65.3%493217
#14XGPRO64.5%312011
#15MAJOR64.5%312011
#16STREAK63.6%332112
#17ELO63.5%523319
#18ELOFACE62.7%513219
#19SOS55.1%492722
#20APEX52.8%532825
#21PHANTOM52.8%532825
#22HIGH-ORACLE52.6%19109
#23NEXUS50.0%1688
#24ORACLE47.1%512427
#25EAGLE40.4%471928

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

9/11 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
GamerLegion 0-3 Natus Vincere68% Natus VincCORRECT
BetBoom 0-2 Natus Vincere77% Natus VincCORRECT
B8 0-2 Vitality80% VitalityCORRECT
SINNERS 0-2 Astralis70% AstralisCORRECT
FaZe 0-2 Vitality81% VitalityCORRECT
BetBoom 2-1 Vitality83% VitalityWRONG
Natus Vincere 2-1 GamerLegion69% Natus VincCORRECT
Monte 2-1 The Huns67% MonteCORRECT
HEROIC 1-2 magic62% HEROICWRONG
Natus Vincere 2-0 Passion UA74% Natus VincCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 BC.Game84% VitalityCORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W19 → W20, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 20 · May 04 – May 10, 2026

25
Models ranked
304
Predictions
16
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0677
Brier Score
0.2985
Log Loss

This week (Week 20 · May 04 – May 10, 2026) we analyzed 16 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 100.0% accuracy (8/8 correct), ahead of HIGH-ORACLE at 100.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.0677 and Log Loss of 0.2985.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 8 out of 8 matches.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 8 predictions (8 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
8
Predictions
8
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W19: 100.0% (8)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD100.0%880
#2HIGH-ORACLE100.0%770
#3NEXUS100.0%770
#4SENTINEL100.0%550
#5ELO81.2%16133
#6ELOFACE81.2%16133
#7WR10C81.2%16133
#8APEX81.2%16133
#9PHANTOM81.2%16133
#10ORACLE80.0%15123
#11TIER280.0%15123
#12ELOHQ80.0%15123
#13TIER78.6%14113
#14EAGLE75.0%16124
#15TIER375.0%1293
#16XGPRO71.4%752
#17MAJOR71.4%752
#18SQUAD68.8%16115
#19SOS66.7%15105
#20FORM66.7%1284
#21STREAK66.7%321
#22OPEN60.0%1064
#23WR1054.5%1165
#24WR10P50.0%1688
#25MIND23.1%13310

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

8/8 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Monte 2-0 magic65% MonteCORRECT
PARIVISION 2-0 Fisher College75% PARIVISIONCORRECT
Aurora 2-0 The Huns76% AuroraCORRECT
Falcons 2-0 K2778% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 The Huns79% SpiritCORRECT
MOUZ 2-1 Gentle Mates72% MOUZCORRECT
The MongolZ 2-0 magic76% The MongolCORRECT
G2 2-0 Fisher College73% G2CORRECT
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Week 19 → 20, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes

Weekly leaderboard · Week 19 results (May 04 – May 10, 2026) · published Week 20

30
Active predictors
505
Settled wagers
28.0%
Avg accuracy
49.1%
Top WR
+$413
Top profit
$40
Prize pool

💰 Weekly Cash Prizes

🥇
Tw1nk1e17 takes +$20 for highest win rate
🥇
Goofy takes +$20 for highest profit

30 predictors placed 505 settled wagers this week (Week 19 results (May 04 – May 10, 2026) · published Week 20). Tw1nk1e17 led on accuracy at 49.1% Wilson, while Goofy netted +$413.28 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 28.0%.

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

🥇
Win rate champion · 18 settled wagers
49.1%
Wilson WR
18
Settled
13
Correct
5
Wrong
  1. 🥇 Tw1nk1e1749.1% Wilson (13W / 5L)
  2. 🥈 sliimey47.3% Wilson (15W / 7L)
  3. 🥉 AZIDOT45.4% Wilson (14W / 7L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

🥇
Profit champion · 13 settled wagers
+$413.28
Net profit
29.1%
Win rate
7
Won
6
Lost
  1. 🥇 Goofy+$413.28 (13 bets)
  2. 🥈 sliimey+$271.94 (22 bets)
  3. 🥉 lenci+$236.79 (13 bets)

Want next week's prize?

Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.

Read more →
April → May 2026 — Top Predictors & Monthly Cash Prizes

Monthly leaderboard · April 2026 results · published May 2026

30
Active predictors
404
Settled wagers
27.5%
Avg accuracy
56.5%
Top WR
+$317
Top profit
$100
Prize pool

💰 Monthly Cash Prizes

🥇
Viresse takes +$50 for highest win rate
🥇
lenci takes +$50 for highest profit

30 predictors placed 404 settled wagers this month (April 2026 results · published May 2026). Viresse led on accuracy at 56.5% Wilson, while lenci netted +$316.68 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 27.5%.

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

🥇
Win rate champion · 9 settled wagers
56.5%
Wilson WR
9
Settled
8
Correct
1
Wrong
  1. 🥇 Viresse56.5% Wilson (8W / 1L)
  2. 🥈 d1maje52.7% Wilson (13W / 4L)
  3. 🥉 AZIDOT48.1% Wilson (14W / 6L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

🥇
Profit champion · 16 settled wagers
+$316.68
Net profit
28.0%
Win rate
8
Won
8
Lost
  1. 🥇 lenci+$316.68 (16 bets)
  2. 🥈 Viresse+$243.92 (9 bets)
  3. 🥉 tripex17+$192.32 (16 bets)

Want next month's prize?

Top-1 in each category wins +$50. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.

Read more →
Week 18 → 19, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes

Weekly leaderboard · Week 18 results (Apr 27 – May 03, 2026) · published Week 19

30
Active predictors
653
Settled wagers
31.2%
Avg accuracy
55.3%
Top WR
+$418
Top profit
$40
Prize pool

💰 Weekly Cash Prizes

🥇
AZIDOT takes +$20 for highest win rate
🥇
lenci takes +$20 for highest profit

30 predictors placed 653 settled wagers this week (Week 18 results (Apr 27 – May 03, 2026) · published Week 19). AZIDOT led on accuracy at 55.3% Wilson, while lenci netted +$417.81 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 31.2%.

🎯 Win Rate Champion

Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).

🥇
Win rate champion · 27 settled wagers
55.3%
Wilson WR
27
Settled
20
Correct
7
Wrong
  1. 🥇 AZIDOT55.3% Wilson (20W / 7L)
  2. 🥈 tripex1748.4% Wilson (17W / 8L)
  3. 🥉 Viresse48.1% Wilson (14W / 6L)

💵 Profit Champion

Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.

🥇
Profit champion · 28 settled wagers
+$417.81
Net profit
32.6%
Win rate
14
Won
14
Lost
  1. 🥇 lenci+$417.81 (28 bets)
  2. 🥈 tripex17+$365.94 (25 bets)
  3. 🥉 Viresse+$329.79 (20 bets)

Want next week's prize?

Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.

Read more →
Top Models April → May 2026 — TRIBUNAL leads at 100.0%

Monthly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · May 2026

27
Models ranked
2520
Total predictions
174
Matches tracked
100.0%
Best accuracy

Based on April 2026 data, we tracked 174 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models with a total of 2520 predictions. The average model accuracy was 72.3%, with a spread of 53.0% between the best and worst performing models.

🏆 Top 3 Models of the Month

TRIBUNAL takes the top spot with 100.0% accuracy, followed by NEXUS at 97.1% and SENTINEL at 92.3%.

🥇
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction

TRIBUNAL showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 20 predictions (20 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
20
Predictions
20
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 100.0% (9)W15: 100.0% (5)W16: 100.0% (4)W18: 100.0% (2)
🥈
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 97.1% accuracy across 35 predictions (34 correct, 1 wrong). Best week: W14 at 100.0%, weakest: W18 at 75.0%.

97.1%
Accuracy
35
Predictions
34
Correct
1
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 100.0% (10)W15: 100.0% (2)W16: 100.0% (10)W17: 100.0% (9)W18: 75.0% (4)
🥉
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction

SENTINEL showed excellent performance with 92.3% accuracy across 26 predictions (24 correct, 2 wrong). Best week: W15 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 90.5%.

92.3%
Accuracy
26
Predictions
24
Correct
2
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W14: 90.5% (21)W15: 100.0% (1)W16: 100.0% (1)W17: 100.0% (3)

📊 Full Monthly Leaderboard

Below is the complete ranking of all models. Models highlighted in blue are in the top 3. The bar chart shows relative performance at a glance.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1TRIBUNAL100.0%20200
#2NEXUS97.1%35341
#3SENTINEL92.3%26242
#4STRONGHOLD91.1%45414
#5TIER386.4%44386
#6VANGUARD85.7%14122
#7HIGH-ORACLE85.3%34295
#8TIER82.7%756213
#9ELOHQ79.8%947519
#10TIER278.3%836518
#11ORACLE74.7%916823
#12APEX73.9%926824
#13SOS73.5%13610036
#14PHANTOM73.3%906624
#15ELOFACE70.0%1309139
#16ELO68.5%1439845
#17STREAK65.6%905931
#18WR1063.7%1137241
#19EAGLE62.6%915734
#20MAJOR61.2%1167145
#21XGPRO60.9%1157045
#22WR10C60.3%1569462
#23OPEN60.3%1317952
#24SQUAD57.2%1669571
#25FORM50.4%1336766
#26WR10P49.6%1256263
#27MIND47.0%1326270
Read more →
Model of the Week W18 → W19, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 19 · Apr 27 – May 03, 2026

24
Models ranked
352
Predictions
20
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0822
Brier Score
0.334
Log Loss

This week (Week 19 · Apr 27 – May 03, 2026) we analyzed 20 top-tier CS2 matches across 24 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 100.0% accuracy (7/7 correct), ahead of STREAK at 91.7%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.0822 and Log Loss of 0.334.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 7 out of 7 matches.

🥇
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 7 predictions (7 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
7
Predictions
7
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W18: 100.0% (7)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1STRONGHOLD100.0%770
#2STREAK91.7%12111
#3TIER377.8%972
#4XGPRO77.8%972
#5MAJOR77.8%972
#6NEXUS77.8%972
#7ELO76.5%17134
#8ELOFACE75.0%16124
#9TIER75.0%1293
#10TIER275.0%1293
#11SOS73.7%19145
#12APEX72.2%18135
#13ELOHQ71.4%14104
#14WR1071.4%14104
#15SQUAD70.0%20146
#16HIGH-ORACLE70.0%1073
#17OPEN68.4%19136
#18MIND66.7%18126
#19PHANTOM66.7%18126
#20ORACLE63.2%19127
#21WR10C60.0%20128
#22WR10P60.0%1596
#23FORM57.9%19118
#24EAGLE41.2%17710

🎮 STRONGHOLD Predictions This Week

7/7 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Vitality 2-0 GamerLegion79% VitalityCORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 FaZe71% Natus VincCORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 GamerLegion68% Natus VincCORRECT
Vitality 2-1 G275% VitalityCORRECT
Natus Vincere 2-0 FaZe71% Natus VincCORRECT
Vitality 2-1 FUT76% VitalityCORRECT
Legacy 3-2 9z62% LegacyCORRECT
Read more →
May Predictor Challenge — Win a Real CS2 Knife

Our first community giveaway is live. Two real CS2 knives — one for each Leaderboard category — go to the top predictors of May 2026.

Prizes

StatTrak Gut Knife Lore

By Win Rate

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

Navaja Knife Fade

By Profit

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

How to enter

Nothing extra to do — just predict matches as you normally would. Every wager you settle between May 1 00:00 UTC and May 31 23:59 UTC counts toward the May leaderboard. Whoever sits at the top of each column at the end of May wins.

Rules

  • Minimum 5 settled predictions in May to qualify for either prize.
  • Win Rate ranking uses the Wilson lower bound — small samples are penalised, so a lucky 3-0 streak is not enough on its own.
  • Tie-breakers: total settled predictions in May, then earliest first prediction.
  • If one user tops both categories, both knives go to that user.

How prizes are delivered

Within 1 day of the contest closing we will reach out to the winners. Provide your Steam trade URL and the knife is sent over Steam Trade.

Track your standing any time on the Leaderboard. Good luck.

Read more →
Model of the Week W18 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 18 · Apr 20 – Apr 27, 2026

24
Models ranked
205
Predictions
13
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0664
Brier Score
0.2942
Log Loss

This week (Week 18 · Apr 20 – Apr 27, 2026) we analyzed 13 top-tier CS2 matches across 24 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (9/9 correct), ahead of HIGH-ORACLE at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0664 and Log Loss of 0.2942.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 9 out of 9 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 9 predictions (9 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
9
Predictions
9
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W17: 100.0% (9)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%990
#2HIGH-ORACLE100.0%880
#3ELOHQ100.0%440
#4TIER100.0%440
#5TIER2100.0%440
#6SENTINEL100.0%330
#7STRONGHOLD100.0%330
#8PHANTOM90.0%1091
#9ORACLE81.8%1192
#10EAGLE81.8%1192
#11ELOFACE77.8%972
#12SQUAD75.0%1293
#13SOS75.0%1293
#14APEX75.0%1293
#15ELO72.7%1183
#16WR10C46.2%1367
#17FORM36.4%1147
#18OPEN30.0%1037
#19XGPRO25.0%826
#20MAJOR25.0%826
#21WR1025.0%826
#22WR10P22.2%927
#23MIND16.7%12210
#24STREAK0.0%303

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

9/9 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
TYLOO 1-0 Sensation76% TYLOOCORRECT
9z 2-0 Vasco74% 9zCORRECT
Wildcard 2-0 FRZ68% WildcardCORRECT
BIG 0-2 HEROIC68% HEROICCORRECT
Alliance 2-0 Oxuji69% AllianceCORRECT
Legacy 2-0 Keyd Stars78% LegacyCORRECT
9z 2-0 Vasco80% 9zCORRECT
Legacy 2-0 ALZON78% LegacyCORRECT
9z 2-0 ALKA80% 9zCORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W17 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026

25
Models ranked
520
Predictions
30
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0884
Brier Score
0.3524
Log Loss

This week (Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026) we analyzed 30 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (10/10 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0884 and Log Loss of 0.3524.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 10 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 10 predictions (10 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
10
Predictions
10
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%10100
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%770
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%440
#4TIER393.8%16151
#5ELOHQ90.9%22202
#6TIER289.5%19172
#7TIER88.9%18162
#8HIGH-ORACLE87.5%871
#9APEX85.2%27234
#10SOS80.0%25205
#11ELO79.3%29236
#12ELOFACE78.6%28226
#13PHANTOM78.6%28226
#14ORACLE78.6%28226
#15WR10C73.3%30228
#16WR10P73.1%26197
#17EAGLE72.0%25187
#18STREAK71.4%14104
#19WR1070.8%24177
#20SQUAD70.4%27198
#21MAJOR64.7%17116
#22FORM62.5%24159
#23XGPRO62.5%16106
#24OPEN60.0%251510
#25MIND56.5%231310

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

10/10 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
Read more →
Model of the Week W16 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026

25
Models ranked
858
Predictions
50
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0893
Brier Score
0.3546
Log Loss

This week (Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026) we analyzed 50 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (12/12 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0893 and Log Loss of 0.3546.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 12 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 12 predictions (12 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
12
Predictions
12
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W15: 100.0% (2)W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%12120
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%990
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%990
#4TIER395.2%21201
#5TIER286.2%29254
#6TIER85.7%28244
#7HIGH-ORACLE83.3%12102
#8ELOHQ82.9%35296
#9APEX77.8%453510
#10ORACLE77.3%443410
#11PHANTOM76.7%433310
#12SOS76.2%423210
#13ELO76.1%463511
#14ELOFACE74.4%433211
#15WR1071.1%382711
#16STREAK70.4%27198
#17WR10C67.3%493316
#18WR10P65.9%442915
#19EAGLE65.1%432815
#20MAJOR64.7%342212
#21FORM64.3%422715
#22XGPRO63.6%332112
#23OPEN61.0%412516
#24SQUAD59.6%472819
#25MIND59.5%422517

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

12/12 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 The MongolZ69% The MongolCORRECT
BC.Game 2-1 Voca70% BC.GameCORRECT
Read more →
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