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Monthly leaderboard · May 2026 results · published June 2026
47 predictors placed 2410 settled wagers this month. Paranormal led on accuracy at 50.8% Wilson WR, while tier0_s netted +$1043.99 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 50.3%.
🔪 Knife Giveaway Winners
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (5+ settled wagers required for the knife giveaway).
- 🥇 Paranormal — 50.8% Wilson (23W / 11L)
- 🥈 Tw1nk1e17 — 50.2% Wilson (45W / 28L)
- 🥉 seberya — 48.7% Wilson (51W / 35L)
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes).
- 🥇 tier0_s — +$1043.99 (77 bets)
- 🥈 k1to — +$783.59 (63 bets)
- 🥉 tatazin — +$670.20 (47 bets)
What's next
The Knife Giveaway was a one-month special. $50 / $50 monthly cash prizes for Top Win Rate and Top Profit continue throughout June — same eligibility (3+ settled predictions). Place predictions on the match list and track standings on the Leaderboard.
Big thanks to everyone who placed predictions in May. See you on the June board.
Weekly leaderboard · Week 22 results (May 25 – May 31, 2026) · published Week 23
47 predictors placed 537 settled wagers this week (Week 22 results (May 25 – May 31, 2026) · published Week 23). Forester led on accuracy at 59.6% Wilson, while tAk netted +$400.96 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 24.6%.
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.
Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly leaderboard · Week 21 results (May 18 – May 24, 2026) · published Week 22
💰 Weekly Cash Prizes
47 predictors placed 555 settled wagers this week (Week 21 results (May 18 – May 24, 2026) · published Week 22). Paranormal led on accuracy at 57.8% Wilson, while Paranormal netted +$296.61 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 27.0%.
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).
- 🥇 Paranormal — 57.8% Wilson (11W / 2L)
- 🥈 tAk — 52.9% Wilson (7W / 1L)
- 🥉 FxRE — 49.0% Wilson (8W / 2L)
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.
- 🥇 Paranormal — +$296.61 (13 bets)
- 🥈 tier0_s — +$279.12 (15 bets)
- 🥉 SayYouWill — +$275.34 (9 bets)
Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
We're rolling out a new section on CS2PREDICT: Pickem Predictions. Each CS2 Major has an Pickem Challenge — pick the team that goes 3-0, the team that goes 0-3, and the 7 teams that advance through the Swiss stage. Max 15 points (4 + 4 + 7). Hundreds of thousands of fans play it every Major. Now you can see what AI thinks before locking in your own pick.
What's live now: IEM Cologne Major 2026 — Stage 1
The Stage 1 (Challengers) page is up: /pickem/iem-cologne-major-2026-stage-1/
- AI Consensus — a quick "which team has the most model votes" view for each of the 9 Pickem slots. Pick the consensus choice if you want the safe play.
- Per-Model Picks — 27 AI models, each running 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the Swiss bracket and choosing its own 3-0/0-3/advance picks based on its match-level priors. Models ranked by their top-tier historical accuracy.
- Per-model deep-dive — click any model card to see the full 16-team probability matrix and confidence bars for that model's picks.
Coming soon: Stage 2 (Legends)
Stage 2 — the Legends stage with the 8 invited top-seeds joined by the 8 Stage-1 advancers — gets its own Pickem page as soon as the field is finalized on HLTV. Same format: AI consensus on top, per-model breakdown below. Watch this space.
What's next: user Pickem contest
We're planning a community Pickem challenge right alongside the AI: log in, submit your own 9 picks, and compete against the 27 models after the Major wraps. Final leaderboard will show user scores intermixed with AI scores — beat the algorithms and prove your CS2 sense.
Details (sign-up, prizes, timing) coming in a follow-up post. If you want a heads-up when entries open, log in and watch the Pickem section.
How AI predicts the Swiss bracket
Each model has its own per-match win-probability logic (ELO, recent form, head-to-head, tactical metrics). For Pickem we run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the full 16-team Swiss bracket per model — every potential pairing flipped by a biased coin weighted by that model's match-level probability. The 3-0 pick = the team that finished without a loss most often, 0-3 = the team that finished winless most often, advance = top-7 by P(3-1 ∪ 3-2).
The simulation re-runs every time Cologne's seeding or team-strength data changes, until lock time (24h before the first Swiss match).
Weekly leaderboard · Week 20 results (May 11 – May 17, 2026) · published Week 21
47 predictors placed 647 settled wagers this week (Week 20 results (May 11 – May 17, 2026) · published Week 21). R0Kk-_ led on accuracy at 67.6% Wilson, while tier0_s netted +$701.30 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 26.5%.
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.
Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly leaderboard · Week 19 results (May 04 – May 10, 2026) · published Week 20
30 predictors placed 505 settled wagers this week (Week 19 results (May 04 – May 10, 2026) · published Week 20). Tw1nk1e17 led on accuracy at 49.1% Wilson, while Goofy netted +$413.28 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 28.0%.
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.
Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Monthly leaderboard · April 2026 results · published May 2026
30 predictors placed 404 settled wagers this month (April 2026 results · published May 2026). Viresse led on accuracy at 56.5% Wilson, while lenci netted +$316.68 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 27.5%.
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.
Want next month's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins +$50. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Weekly leaderboard · Week 18 results (Apr 27 – May 03, 2026) · published Week 19
30 predictors placed 653 settled wagers this week (Week 18 results (Apr 27 – May 03, 2026) · published Week 19). AZIDOT led on accuracy at 55.3% Wilson, while lenci netted +$417.81 in profit. Average accuracy across the field: 31.2%.
🎯 Win Rate Champion
Highest accuracy by Wilson lower bound (3+ settled wagers required to qualify).
💵 Profit Champion
Highest net USD return (winnings minus stakes). Green bars are winners, red are net losers.
Want next week's prize?
Top-1 in each category wins +$20. Place 3+ predictions on the match list · check the live leaderboard.
Our first community giveaway is live. Two real CS2 knives — one for each Leaderboard category — go to the top predictors of May 2026.
Prizes
By Win Rate
★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore
Field-Tested
By Profit
★ Navaja Knife | Fade
Factory New
How to enter
Nothing extra to do — just predict matches as you normally would. Every wager you settle between May 1 00:00 UTC and May 31 23:59 UTC counts toward the May leaderboard. Whoever sits at the top of each column at the end of May wins.
Rules
- Minimum 5 settled predictions in May to qualify for either prize.
- Win Rate ranking uses the Wilson lower bound — small samples are penalised, so a lucky 3-0 streak is not enough on its own.
- Tie-breakers: total settled predictions in May, then earliest first prediction.
- If one user tops both categories, both knives go to that user.
How prizes are delivered
Within 1 day of the contest closing we will reach out to the winners. Provide your Steam trade URL and the knife is sent over Steam Trade.
Track your standing any time on the Leaderboard. Good luck.