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Match Prediction Engine
 Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
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Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next: 5 min

Model Leaderboard

Prediction accuracy across top tier matches

Top Major All
#1
86.1%
VANGUARDPro
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
31 ✓ / 36
5 wrong
#2
84.1%
SENTINELPro
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
53 ✓ / 63
10 wrong
#3
83.1%
STRONGHOLDPro
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
98 ✓ / 118
20 wrong
#4
83.0%
TRIBUNALPro
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
39 ✓ / 47
8 wrong
#5
78.9%
TIER3Pro
Top-teams ELO v3
97 ✓ / 123
26 wrong
#6
77.4%
NEXUSPro
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
65 ✓ / 84
19 wrong
#7
76.9%
TIERPro
ELO for top-30 teams
140 ✓ / 182
42 wrong
#8
74.6%
TIER2Pro
Top-teams ELO v2
147 ✓ / 197
50 wrong
#9
72.7%
ELOHQPro
High-confidence ELO
173 ✓ / 238
65 wrong
#10
70.3%
HIGH-ORACLEPro
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
64 ✓ / 91
27 wrong
#11
67.5%
WR10Basic
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
187 ✓ / 277
90 wrong
#12
65.7%
STREAKBasic
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
153 ✓ / 233
80 wrong
#13
65.4%
SOSBasic
Rank + form + opponent strength
219 ✓ / 335
116 wrong
#14
65.3%
PHANTOMBasic
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
141 ✓ / 216
75 wrong
#15
65.0%
APEXBasic
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
147 ✓ / 226
79 wrong
#16
64.8%
ELOFACEBasic
ELO + training activity
214 ✓ / 330
116 wrong
#17
64.5%
ELOBasic
Team ELO rating
225 ✓ / 349
124 wrong
#18
64.1%
ORACLEBasic
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
141 ✓ / 220
79 wrong
#19
63.2%
MAJORBasic
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
175 ✓ / 277
102 wrong
#20
62.8%
XGPROBasic
Rank + H2H for top matches
172 ✓ / 274
102 wrong
#21
62.6%
WR10CBasic
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
228 ✓ / 364
136 wrong
#22
62.1%
OPENFree
Rank + form + head-to-head
197 ✓ / 317
120 wrong
#23
60.7%
SQUADFree
Player ratings
233 ✓ / 384
151 wrong
#24
55.9%
EAGLEFree
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
119 ✓ / 213
94 wrong
#25
54.2%
WR10PFree
Pure win rate vs top-10
166 ✓ / 306
140 wrong
#26
53.5%
FORMFree
Win rate last 10 matches
174 ✓ / 325
151 wrong
#27
49.4%
MINDFree
Psychology + tilt + H2H
157 ✓ / 318
161 wrong
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