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Match Prediction Engine
 Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
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Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next: 5 min

Model Leaderboard

Prediction accuracy across all tier matches

Top Major All
#1
86.1%
VANGUARDPro
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
31 ✓ / 36
5 wrong
#2
83.0%
TRIBUNALPro
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
39 ✓ / 47
8 wrong
#3
81.7%
STRONGHOLDPro
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
98 ✓ / 120
22 wrong
#4
81.5%
SENTINELPro
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
53 ✓ / 65
12 wrong
#5
78.9%
TIER3Pro
Top-teams ELO v3
97 ✓ / 123
26 wrong
#6
76.9%
TIERPro
ELO for top-30 teams
140 ✓ / 182
42 wrong
#7
75.3%
NEXUSPro
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
67 ✓ / 89
22 wrong
#8
74.4%
TIER2Pro
Top-teams ELO v2
148 ✓ / 199
51 wrong
#9
73.0%
ELOHQPro
High-confidence ELO
178 ✓ / 244
66 wrong
#10
68.8%
HIGH-ORACLEPro
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
66 ✓ / 96
30 wrong
#11
66.9%
WR10Basic
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
190 ✓ / 284
94 wrong
#12
65.5%
STREAKBasic
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
156 ✓ / 238
82 wrong
#13
65.0%
ELOFACEBasic
ELO + training activity
221 ✓ / 340
119 wrong
#14
64.8%
PHANTOMBasic
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
147 ✓ / 227
80 wrong
#15
64.6%
ELOBasic
Team ELO rating
232 ✓ / 359
127 wrong
#16
64.3%
SOSBasic
Rank + form + opponent strength
223 ✓ / 347
124 wrong
#17
64.1%
APEXBasic
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
152 ✓ / 237
85 wrong
#18
63.4%
ORACLEBasic
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
147 ✓ / 232
85 wrong
#19
62.9%
WR10CBasic
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
236 ✓ / 375
139 wrong
#20
62.6%
MAJORBasic
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
179 ✓ / 286
107 wrong
#21
62.2%
XGPROBasic
Rank + H2H for top matches
176 ✓ / 283
107 wrong
#22
62.0%
OPENFree
Rank + form + head-to-head
201 ✓ / 324
123 wrong
#23
60.5%
SQUADFree
Player ratings
240 ✓ / 397
157 wrong
#24
55.8%
EAGLEFree
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
125 ✓ / 224
99 wrong
#25
54.4%
WR10PFree
Pure win rate vs top-10
172 ✓ / 316
144 wrong
#26
53.6%
FORMFree
Win rate last 10 matches
180 ✓ / 336
156 wrong
#27
49.4%
MINDFree
Psychology + tilt + H2H
163 ✓ / 330
167 wrong
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