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Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 75.0%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
W27, 2026 — quiet week between tournaments (only 2 top-tier matches)

Not much to report this week — the calendar landed between events. From June 22 through 28 only two matches on the top / major tier reached completion, which is far short of what we normally need for a meaningful model breakdown.

Why the "Model of the Week" isn't ranked this time

Our weekly digest normally ranks all 20+ models by accuracy across the week's premium matches. With just 2 matches:

  • Every model sits at either 0%, 50%, or 100% accuracy — a coin-flip statistic, not signal.
  • The "winner" would be whichever model happened to call one specific match correctly. That's noise dressed up as insight.
  • Publishing rankings on this small a sample would mislead more than inform.

So instead of pretending, here's the actual state.

What ran during the week

  • EPL World SEA S16 wrapped up — regional finals came in mid-week; most matches sat in tier=professional or tier=other, not top-tier by our classifier.
  • Assorted qualifiers (TI-EU CQ, TI-NA CQ, CCT Series, Choco Cup) — most of the week's traffic, but again below the "major" bar we use for the digest.
  • The 2 top-tier matches that did settle were isolated one-offs at the edges of the week.

Coming up

The calendar picks up sharply from here — TI2026 Regional Qualifiers are still active, and higher-tier lineups roll into July. Model accuracy stats will start being meaningful again as soon as those matches settle. Watch the Models page for live leaderboard positioning, and the Matches feed for what's scheduled.

A note on our methodology: we intentionally hold the "Model of the Week" post to at least 3 predictions per model. If we can't clear that bar, we say so instead of publishing noisy rankings. Full model accuracy across all time windows is always available on the Models leaderboard.

— The cs2predict team

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