Last refresh: 2026-08-01 22:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
Model Consensus based on 26 models
Spirit
67.3%
100 Thieves: $3.00 (3) · x5.43
Pool $16.28
Spirit: $13.28 (4) · x1.23
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 7 latest
K
Kost9N
Jul 26, 14:13
Spirit
$1.00
+$1.23
won
tdhr
Jul 25, 22:21
Spirit
$5.00
+$6.12
won
777
Jul 24, 22:57
Spirit
$4.81
+$5.90
won
IamYourDaddy
Jul 24, 22:57
Spirit
$2.47
+$3.03
won
Rack
Jul 24, 22:52
100 Thieves
$1.00
lost
Chill
Jul 24, 22:35
100 Thieves
$1.00
lost
tatazin
Jul 24, 22:30
100 Thieves
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (26)
ELO
Team ELO rating
88.2%
win probability
Spirit
64.3%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
86.0%
win probability
Spirit
75.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
83.8%
win probability
Spirit
62.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
83.5%
win probability
Spirit
58.7%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
78.7%
win probability
Spirit
64.9%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
77.5%
win probability
Spirit
79.9%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
77.2%
win probability
Spirit
64.0%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
73.7%
win probability
Spirit
73.0%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
70.2%
win probability
Spirit
68.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
70.2%
win probability
Spirit
64.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
66.8%
win probability
Spirit
64.2%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
66.5%
win probability
Spirit
65.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
64.6%
win probability
Spirit
51.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Spirit
53.2%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
62.8%
win probability
Spirit
81.7%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
60.7%
win probability
Spirit
71.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.2%
win probability
Spirit
59.6%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
59.2%
win probability
Spirit
62.1%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
59.2%
win probability
Spirit
62.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
58.4%
win probability
Spirit
70.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
57.4%
win probability
Spirit
73.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.6%
win probability
Spirit
50.8%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
55.3%
win probability
Spirit
75.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.7%
win probability
Spirit
59.5%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.5%
win probability
Spirit
62.5%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
53.0%
win probability
Spirit
43.3%
accuracy