News, updates and analysis
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026
This week (Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026) we analyzed 30 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (10/10 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0884 and Log Loss of 0.3524.
NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 10 matches.
NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 10 predictions (10 correct, 0 wrong).
Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.
10/10 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| Spirit 0-3 Vitality | 71% Vitality | CORRECT |
| FURIA 0-2 Vitality | 68% Vitality | CORRECT |
| Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere | 72% Vitality | CORRECT |
| HEROIC 1-0 illwill | 73% HEROIC | CORRECT |
| RED Canids 1-2 Spirit | 68% Spirit | CORRECT |
| FURIA 2-0 Passion UA | 71% FURIA | CORRECT |
| Legacy 1-2 MOUZ | 72% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 0-2 Falcons | 70% Falcons | CORRECT |
| Spirit 2-0 Liquid | 68% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Gentle Mates 1-2 G2 | 71% G2 | CORRECT |
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026
This week (Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026) we analyzed 50 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (12/12 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0893 and Log Loss of 0.3546.
NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 12 matches.
NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 12 predictions (12 correct, 0 wrong).
Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.
12/12 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| Spirit 0-3 Vitality | 71% Vitality | CORRECT |
| FURIA 0-2 Vitality | 68% Vitality | CORRECT |
| Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere | 72% Vitality | CORRECT |
| HEROIC 1-0 illwill | 73% HEROIC | CORRECT |
| RED Canids 1-2 Spirit | 68% Spirit | CORRECT |
| FURIA 2-0 Passion UA | 71% FURIA | CORRECT |
| Legacy 1-2 MOUZ | 72% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 0-2 Falcons | 70% Falcons | CORRECT |
| Spirit 2-0 Liquid | 68% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Gentle Mates 1-2 G2 | 71% G2 | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 0-2 The MongolZ | 69% The Mongol | CORRECT |
| BC.Game 2-1 Voca | 70% BC.Game | CORRECT |
Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 15 · Mar 30 – Apr 06, 2026
This week (Week 15 · Mar 30 – Apr 06, 2026) we analyzed 193 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (22/22 correct), ahead of TRIBUNAL at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0861 and Log Loss of 0.3457.
NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 22 out of 22 matches.
NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 22 predictions (22 correct, 0 wrong).
Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.
22/22 correct predictions on top-tier matches.
| MATCH | PREDICTION | RESULT |
|---|---|---|
| Spirit 0-3 Vitality | 71% Vitality | CORRECT |
| FURIA 0-2 Vitality | 68% Vitality | CORRECT |
| Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere | 72% Vitality | CORRECT |
| HEROIC 1-0 illwill | 73% HEROIC | CORRECT |
| RED Canids 1-2 Spirit | 68% Spirit | CORRECT |
| FURIA 2-0 Passion UA | 71% FURIA | CORRECT |
| Legacy 1-2 MOUZ | 72% MOUZ | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 0-2 Falcons | 70% Falcons | CORRECT |
| Spirit 2-0 Liquid | 68% Spirit | CORRECT |
| Gentle Mates 1-2 G2 | 71% G2 | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 0-2 The MongolZ | 69% The Mongol | CORRECT |
| BC.Game 2-1 Voca | 70% BC.Game | CORRECT |
| paiN 3-1 Gaimin Gladiators | 72% paiN | CORRECT |
| PARIVISION 2-0 FOKUS | 74% PARIVISION | CORRECT |
| 3DMAX 2-1 Voca | 74% 3DMAX | CORRECT |
| FaZe 2-0 CYBERSHOKE | 68% FaZe | CORRECT |
| PARIVISION 2-1 Legacy | 69% PARIVISION | CORRECT |
| paiN 2-1 ShindeN | 81% paiN | CORRECT |
| GamerLegion 0-2 BetBoom | 68% BetBoom | CORRECT |
| Astralis 2-0 MIBR | 68% Astralis | CORRECT |
| B8 2-0 Wildcard | 68% B8 | CORRECT |
| NRG 2-0 Voca | 77% NRG | CORRECT |