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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Model of the Week W17 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026

25
Models ranked
520
Predictions
30
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0884
Brier Score
0.3524
Log Loss

This week (Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026) we analyzed 30 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (10/10 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0884 and Log Loss of 0.3524.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 10 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 10 predictions (10 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
10
Predictions
10
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%10100
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%770
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%440
#4TIER393.8%16151
#5ELOHQ90.9%22202
#6TIER289.5%19172
#7TIER88.9%18162
#8HIGH-ORACLE87.5%871
#9APEX85.2%27234
#10SOS80.0%25205
#11ELO79.3%29236
#12ELOFACE78.6%28226
#13PHANTOM78.6%28226
#14ORACLE78.6%28226
#15WR10C73.3%30228
#16WR10P73.1%26197
#17EAGLE72.0%25187
#18STREAK71.4%14104
#19WR1070.8%24177
#20SQUAD70.4%27198
#21MAJOR64.7%17116
#22FORM62.5%24159
#23XGPRO62.5%16106
#24OPEN60.0%251510
#25MIND56.5%231310

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

10/10 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
May 2026 — Knife Giveaway Winners + Top Predictors
Top Models May → June 2026 — STRONGHOLD leads at 78.4%
Week 22 → 23, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
Model of the Week W22 → W23, 2026 — SQUAD (60.9%)
Model of the Week W21 → W22, 2026 — WR10P (75.8%)
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