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Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Model of the Week W16 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026

25
Models ranked
858
Predictions
50
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0893
Brier Score
0.3546
Log Loss

This week (Week 16 · Apr 06 – Apr 13, 2026) we analyzed 50 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (12/12 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0893 and Log Loss of 0.3546.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 12 out of 12 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 12 predictions (12 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
12
Predictions
12
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W15: 100.0% (2)W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%12120
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%990
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%990
#4TIER395.2%21201
#5TIER286.2%29254
#6TIER85.7%28244
#7HIGH-ORACLE83.3%12102
#8ELOHQ82.9%35296
#9APEX77.8%453510
#10ORACLE77.3%443410
#11PHANTOM76.7%433310
#12SOS76.2%423210
#13ELO76.1%463511
#14ELOFACE74.4%433211
#15WR1071.1%382711
#16STREAK70.4%27198
#17WR10C67.3%493316
#18WR10P65.9%442915
#19EAGLE65.1%432815
#20MAJOR64.7%342212
#21FORM64.3%422715
#22XGPRO63.6%332112
#23OPEN61.0%412516
#24SQUAD59.6%472819
#25MIND59.5%422517

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

12/12 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 The MongolZ69% The MongolCORRECT
BC.Game 2-1 Voca70% BC.GameCORRECT
May 2026 — Knife Giveaway Winners + Top Predictors
Top Models May → June 2026 — STRONGHOLD leads at 78.4%
Week 22 → 23, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
Model of the Week W22 → W23, 2026 — SQUAD (60.9%)
Model of the Week W21 → W22, 2026 — WR10P (75.8%)
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