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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 75.0%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-02 00:44 UTC · Next:
Completed
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 North America · Live · 05:00 · 2026-05-04 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
M80
57.0%
45%
55%
Wildcard: $93.50 (1) · x2.20 Pool $206.11 M80: $112.61 (2) · x1.83
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
tatazin
May 03, 23:19
M80
$5.07
+$9.28
won
AZIDOT
May 03, 23:14
M80
$107.54
+$196.83
won
d1maje
May 03, 23:09
Wildcard
$93.50
lost
Model Predictions (18)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
72.8%
win probability
M80
62.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.5%
win probability
M80
58.7%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
61.0%
win probability
M80
64.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
59.9%
win probability
M80
51.5%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.6%
win probability
M80
50.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.3%
win probability
M80
64.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
57.2%
win probability
M80
64.9%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
55.3%
win probability
M80
64.9%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.1%
win probability
M80
62.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
M80
53.2%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.9%
win probability
M80
62.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.5%
win probability
M80
59.6%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
53.9%
win probability
M80
65.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.4%
win probability
M80
59.5%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.3%
win probability
M80
62.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.1%
win probability
M80
64.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.0%
win probability
M80
62.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.4%
win probability
M80
71.1%
accuracy
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