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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    VANGUARD 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 72.7%    ELOHQ 70.8%    TIER2ELO 70.5%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-02 18:05 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier · Live · 17:00 · 2026-05-02 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
100 Thieves
63.0%
44%
56%
illwill: $6.25 (1) · x2.27 Pool $14.20 100 Thieves: $7.95 (1) · x1.79
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
arlli
Apr 30, 20:57
illwill
$6.25
lost
souv
Apr 30, 20:47
100 Thieves
$7.95
+$14.20
won
Model Predictions (23)
SQUAD
Player ratings
91.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.6%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
82.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
73.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.4%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
72.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.1%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
69.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
79.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
68.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
68.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.8%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
66.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
66.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
64.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.8%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
53.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.4%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.7%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
illwill
50.7%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.1%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.4%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.5%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.7%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
illwill
51.4%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.5%
accuracy
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