APEX

ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)

66.5%

win probability

The MongolZ

64.0%

accuracy

✕

WR10C

Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

66.1%

win probability

The MongolZ

62.2%

accuracy

✕

ELO

Team ELO rating

65.2%

win probability

The MongolZ

64.3%

accuracy

✕

PHANTOM

ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)

62.6%

win probability

The MongolZ

65.6%

accuracy

✕

SQUAD

Player ratings

61.5%

win probability

Astralis

58.7%

accuracy

✓

ELOFACE

ELO + training activity

60.0%

win probability

The MongolZ

64.9%

accuracy

✕

EAGLE

Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate

58.9%

win probability

The MongolZ

59.5%

accuracy

✕

WR10P

Pure win rate vs top-10

57.1%

win probability

Astralis

51.5%

accuracy

✓

ORACLE

ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS

56.4%

win probability

The MongolZ

64.9%

accuracy

✕

WR10

Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

54.4%

win probability

Astralis

62.5%

accuracy

✓

MIND

Psychology + tilt + H2H

54.1%

win probability

Astralis

50.8%

accuracy

✓

MAJOR

Rank + H2H + Form for major events

53.3%

win probability

Astralis

62.4%

accuracy

✓

XGPRO

Rank + H2H for top matches

53.0%

win probability

Astralis

62.1%

accuracy

✓

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

52.9%

win probability

Astralis

62.5%

accuracy

✓

ELOHQ

High-confidence ELO

52.8%

win probability

The MongolZ

71.1%

accuracy

✕

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

52.0%

win probability

The MongolZ

70.8%

accuracy

✕