SQUAD

Player ratings

89.6%

win probability

Alliance

58.7%

accuracy

✕

ELO

Team ELO rating

81.3%

win probability

Alliance

64.3%

accuracy

✕

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

80.8%

win probability

Alliance

75.3%

accuracy

✕

WR10C

Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

80.3%

win probability

Alliance

62.2%

accuracy

✕

ELOFACE

ELO + training activity

72.2%

win probability

Alliance

64.9%

accuracy

✕

FORM

Win rate last 10 matches

69.0%

win probability

Alliance

53.2%

accuracy

✕

OPEN

Rank + form + head-to-head

61.9%

win probability

Alliance

59.6%

accuracy

✕

XGPRO

Rank + H2H for top matches

61.9%

win probability

Alliance

62.1%

accuracy

✕

MAJOR

Rank + H2H + Form for major events

61.9%

win probability

Alliance

62.4%

accuracy

✕

MIND

Psychology + tilt + H2H

61.3%

win probability

Alliance

50.8%

accuracy

✕

ELOHQ

High-confidence ELO

58.8%

win probability

Alliance

71.1%

accuracy

✕

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

54.9%

win probability

Alliance

62.5%

accuracy

✕

PHANTOM

ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)

53.8%

win probability

Alliance

65.6%

accuracy

✕

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

52.9%

win probability

Alliance

73.0%

accuracy

✕

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

52.9%

win probability

Alliance

70.8%

accuracy

✕

SOS

Rank + form + opponent strength

52.3%

win probability

Nexus

64.2%

accuracy

✓