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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    VANGUARD 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 72.7%    ELOHQ 70.8%    TIER2ELO 70.5%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-02 18:05 UTC · Next:
Completed
Parken Challenger Championship Season 8 · Live · 19:00 · 2026-05-24 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
100 Thieves
62.7%
50%
50%
100 Thieves: $0 (0) · x0 Pool $0 STATE: $0 (0) · x0
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
kRaSnaL
May 24, 16:27
100 Thieves
$73.00
refunded
FxRE
May 24, 15:36
100 Thieves
$4.59
refunded
Tw1nk1e17
May 24, 15:31
100 Thieves
$27.30
refunded
Model Predictions (23)
SQUAD
Player ratings
89.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.6%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
76.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.8%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
72.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.8%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
72.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
68.2%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
67.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.4%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
66.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.1%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
64.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
79.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
63.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
62.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.4%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.7%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
60.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
50.7%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.5%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.4%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
53.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.8%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
53.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
51.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.5%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.5%
accuracy
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