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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 75.0%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-02 01:07 UTC · Next:
Completed
Parken Challenger Championship Season 6 · bo3 · 10:00 · 2026-05-10 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
100 Thieves
62.7%
3%
97%
100 Thieves: $3.89 (1) · x32.95 Pool $128.16 A Great Chaos: $124.27 (2) · x1.03
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Emy
May 10, 02:03
A Great Chaos
$33.40
lost
lenci
May 09, 23:04
100 Thieves
$3.89
+$128.16
won
Ne1XXX
May 09, 22:59
A Great Chaos
$90.87
lost
Model Predictions (23)
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
76.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
76.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
68.2%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.2%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
73.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
71.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.6%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
69.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.3%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
67.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
79.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.2%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
63.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.9%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
62.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
60.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
53.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
A Great Chaos
50.8%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.6%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.1%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.4%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
A Great Chaos
51.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.0%
accuracy
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