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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 75.0%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-01 22:14 UTC · Next:
Completed
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Live · 13:00 · 2026-07-22 · TOP · HLTV →
59%
41%
Ninjas in Pyjamas: $3.76 (3) · x1.69 Pool $6.35 100 Thieves: $2.59 (2) · x2.45
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
FromBehind
Jul 22, 10:10
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.13
+$1.91
won
fEAR
Jul 20, 13:29
100 Thieves
$1.38
lost
timo
Jul 20, 13:08
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.59
+$2.68
won
Chill
Jul 20, 13:01
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.04
+$1.76
won
S
sn1p3z
Jul 19, 15:53
100 Thieves
$1.21
lost
Model Predictions (20)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
87.2%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
43.3%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
53.2%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
62.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
60.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.4%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
50.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.9%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.8%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
62.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
62.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
62.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.6%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
64.2%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
62.5%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
54.1%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
64.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.0%
accuracy
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