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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.9%    VANGUARD 75.3%    TIER3ELO 75.0%    NEXUS 73.0%    TIERELO 73.0%    ELOHQ 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-01 22:49 UTC · Next:
Completed
BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · Live · 10:00 · 2026-07-26 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 25 models
The MongolZ
61.5%
37%
63%
Wildcard: $3.00 (3) · x2.67 Pool $8.00 The MongolZ: $5.00 (1) · x1.60
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
tdhr
Jul 25, 22:21
The MongolZ
$5.00
+$8.00
won
kRaSnaL
Jul 24, 22:09
Wildcard
$1.00
lost
Onryx
Jul 24, 22:03
Wildcard
$1.00
lost
d1maje
Jul 24, 21:58
Wildcard
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (25)
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
78.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
74.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.6%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
58.7%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
70.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
70.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.2%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
68.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
43.3%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
67.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
75.3%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
66.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
59.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.3%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
64.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
79.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
63.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.2%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
62.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.2%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
60.6%
win probability
Wildcard
51.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
55.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
70.8%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.4%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Wildcard
53.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
50.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
75.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
52.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.5%
accuracy
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