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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · Live · 05:00 · 2026-05-13 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 16 models
Gentle Mates
61.4%
Prediction Pool · $153.94
82%
18%
Gentle Mates: $126.60 (3) · x1.22 magic: $27.34 (2) · x5.63
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
zxy
May 12, 23:43
Gentle Mates
$3.50
lost
erners
May 12, 23:10
Gentle Mates
$6.76
lost
Tw1nk1e17
May 12, 14:54
magic
$15.87
+$89.36
won
tatazin
May 12, 14:49
magic
$11.47
+$64.58
won
d1maje
May 12, 14:43
Gentle Mates
$116.34
lost
Model Predictions (16)
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
74.6%
win probability
Gentle Mates
70.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
74.6%
win probability
Gentle Mates
64.1%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.5%
win probability
Gentle Mates
77.4%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
74.4%
win probability
Gentle Mates
65.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
70.5%
win probability
Gentle Mates
60.7%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
67.1%
win probability
Gentle Mates
65.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
64.6%
win probability
magic
54.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
61.8%
win probability
Gentle Mates
65.4%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
61.8%
win probability
Gentle Mates
84.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.7%
win probability
Gentle Mates
55.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.7%
win probability
Gentle Mates
64.5%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
57.1%
win probability
Gentle Mates
62.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.3%
win probability
Gentle Mates
64.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.9%
win probability
magic
49.4%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.5%
win probability
magic
67.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.4%
win probability
Gentle Mates
72.7%
accuracy
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