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Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 14 · Mar 26 – Apr 02, 2026

This week (Week 14 · Mar 26 – Apr 02, 2026) we analyzed 136 top-tier CS2 matches across 17 prediction models. TIER dominated with 84.6% accuracy (33/39 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 81.8%. TIER achieved a Brier Score of 0.2284 and Log Loss of 0.6498.

🏆 Model of the Week: TIER

TIER had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 33 out of 39 matches.

🥇

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

TIER showed excellent performance with 84.6% accuracy across 39 predictions (33 correct, 6 wrong). Best week: W13 at 100.0%, weakest: W14 at 79.3%.

84.6%

Accuracy

39

Predictions

33

Correct

6

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W13: 100.0% (10)W14: 79.3% (29)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	TIER	84.6%	39	33	6
#2	TIER3	81.8%	22	18	4
#3	TIER2	81.4%	43	35	8
#4	ELOHQ	77.0%	61	47	14
#5	WR10	68.8%	77	53	24
#6	STREAK	66.7%	81	54	27
#7	XGPRO	65.1%	109	71	38
#8	MAJOR	65.1%	109	71	38
#9	OPEN	65.1%	106	69	37
#10	ELOFACE	63.7%	91	58	33
#11	SQUAD	63.1%	84	53	31
#12	SOS	62.1%	103	64	39
#13	ELO	59.6%	109	65	44
#14	WR10C	59.4%	106	63	43
#15	FORM	47.0%	100	47	53
#16	MIND	36.4%	99	36	63
#17	WR10P	34.7%	75	26	49